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   You'll Love The Way We Win!

NFL Free Pick | 49ers @ Patriots

 

The 2020 season isn’t going all that well for either San Francisco or New England. Who would have thought that two preseason Super Bowl contenders would be 3-3 and 2-3?

The Niners have suffered so many injuries they may have to start suiting up coaches and trainers. The Patriots are a run-first offense that is still trying to find itself in the post-Tom Brady era. Now where will I go for this week’s free NFL pick?

LOW ROLLOVERS AND HIGH REWARDS AT AMERICA’S BOOKIE

Like the Patriots and 49ers, bettors are just trying to find a win.

Game: San Francisco 49ers (3-3, 3-3 ATS) at New England Patriots (2-3, 2-3 ATS)

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 25, 2020

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Current Line: NE -2   Total: 43.5

TV Coverage: CBS

Hit Hard by Injuries

After winning the NFC title last season, the 49ers were an early favorite to repeat as conference champions and win Super Bowl LV. They were upset by the Cardinals in Week 1 and then the injury bug hit...and hard.

What was one of the NFL’s best defenses lost DE Nick Bosa, DT Solomon Thomas, CB Richard Sherman, DE Dee Ford, and the list goes on. When the 49ers signed DE Ziggy Ansah to replace their casualties on the defensive line, he promptly tore a biceps and was lost for the season.

Heading into Sunday’s game with New England, San Francisco will now be without starting center Ben Garland for the rest of the season. RB Raheem Mostert, who has missed time already, has a high ankle sprain and Pro Bowl OT is listed as questionable for Sunday.

Will it Get Better?

Can it get any worse for San Francisco?

Well, the offense isn’t very good. The 49ers are 19th in points per game (24.7), 21st in yards per play (5.6), and 26th in explosive play rate (26.5%). In layman’s terms, the 49ers don’t create a lot of big plays, they don’t move the chains, don’t sustain drives, and don’t score enough points to win games.

The Patriots aren’t all that much better, but they are very good at one thing - running the football. The offense is different than in year’s past under Brady. With Cam Newton running the show, the offense is geared more toward the run. The result is that New England is second in the NFL in rushing yards per game (167.2).

LOOK! 5Dimes Sportsbook Customers are Switching to America’s Bookie

New England is also sixth in explosive run rate, which tracks the number of run plays over 20 yards. San Francisco’s defense is 26th in explosive run rate meaning they give up a lot of 20-plus-yard runs. Online sportsbooks currently have the Patriots a 2-point home favorite with the total set at 44.

The Patriots have lost two games at home in three of the past four seasons. In none of those seasons have the losses been in consecutive weeks. 

This should be a game where New England bounces back from its loss to Denver last week. It will be a game where the Patriots once again rely on the run. San Francisco will struggle to score points and the Total will be in play. The Under has cashed in five of the last seven Patriots-49ers tilts.

NFL Free Pick: 49ers-Patriots UNDER 44

Need another free pick? Here’s a MNF Betting preview.





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