The Eastern Conference Semifinals are slated to start on Saturday between the #3 Milwaukee Bucks and #2 Brooklyn Nets.

The host Nets are the betting favorites to start the series, at -4. The over/under is expected to be high throughout the entire series, with the total points line currently set at 239.5 points for Game 1.

Let’s refresh ourselves on how each team got here and then break down how the teams match up for this series.

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Milwaukee Bucks: Brooms Out

The Bucks easily handled the Miami Heat in the first round of the NBA Playoffs, sweeping the defending East Champs 4-0.

Besides a two-point overtime win in Game 1, Milwaukee’s average margin of victory was 26.7 points.

The dominating effort was a product of a balanced team, strong on both ends of the floor.

The Bucks own the second-best offense in the entire NBA, a ranking that combines points per game, shooting percentage, and efficiency. The offense prefers to do their scoring from deep, fifth in the NBA at shooting the three.

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With the supporting cast excelling from deep, it allows star Giannis Antetokounmpo to operate near the hoop. Antetokounmpo did it all in Round 1, averaging 23.5 points per game, 15.0 rebounds, 7.8 assists, and 1.8 steals. Both the points and rebounds led the team.

Keep an eye on guard Bryn Forbes in this series against Brooklyn. Forbes shot over eight threes per game, shooting nearly 50% from beyond the arc.

The over was 2-2 in the Bucks first-round series, and Milwaukee was 3-1 ATS.

Read more on this series, talking about NBA Playoff series betting for Bucks vs. Nets. We even threw in a pick for good measure.

Brooklyn Nets: Stars Shine

Brooklyn finally has all three of Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Kyrie Irving together, and the end product is pretty.

The Nets got by Boston without much trouble, winning the series in five games.

Durant averaged nearly 33 points per game, while Harden had 27.8 and Irving 24.8. KD tacked on a team-high 7.4 rebounds per game, and Harden chipped in 10.6 assists per game.

Game 1 was a low-scoring 104-93 contest, and then the points exploded in this series.

The over hit in Games 2-4 and just missed the mark in Game 5.

Offense is the way for Brooklyn, with the top-ranked offense in the NBA. The Nets, like Milwaukee, prefer the outside shot, ranking fourth in the regular season in three-point shooting.

The over was so prevalent in their series against the Celtics thanks to Brooklyn’s 19th-ranked defense, the one thing that may hold them back in these playoffs.

The over was 3-2 in the series, and the Nets were 4-1 ATS.

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Game Pick

This should be the premier matchup between the two Eastern semifinal series. The Bucks looked dominant in Round 1, while no one can match the firepower of Brooklyn’s Big Three.

These are the two best offenses in the NBA, evidenced by this high over/under. Surprisingly, Milwaukee’s defense, while ranking 16th overall, seriously struggles to stop the three.

No team was more generous to three-point success this season than the Bucks. Going against a Brooklyn offense that shoots threes so frequently, it’s the clear advantage to target.

The Nets defense is weaker overall, so despite the high total, we’ll be betting the over at 239.5 points. 

Brooklyn’s advantage on the offensive end is enough to bet them to cover the four-point spread in Game 1.